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AFM NEWS

Data-Driven Deer Management: What Biologists Learn After the Season Ends

2025/02/03
Herdhealth

By Shane Fuller (Wildlife Biologist), Bo Reid (Wildlife Biologist), and Jennifer Hunt (Content Writer)

For hunters, the end of hunting season might bring down time for relaxation with other hobbies after the hard work of the season, but for wildlife biologists, the work is just beginning. Once the season ends, biologists begin compiling harvest data and trying to get those last few jawbones from hunters. After data sheets and jawbones are compiled, the biologist will start to analyze the data and look at several factors such as age structure, lactation rates, weights, and antler measurements, which indicate the health of the deer population and whether management goals are being met.

Age structure is the most reliable indicator of harvest rates and population dynamic trends. Most management plans put age restrictions on bucks, so buck age is not a good indicator of the overall population. On the other hand, the age structure of harvested does should be an accurate representation of the age structure of the population. Higher percentages of harvested older age class does indicates that there are more older age class does in the population. Larger populations tend to have more does reaching older age classes, so if biologists are seeing high percentages of harvested does in those older age classes, they can conclude that the property can likely withstand higher doe harvests the following year. If harvested doe ages trend more toward younger age classes, hunters may need to back off doe harvest for a year or two. Near equal percentages of older and younger age class does indicates that the population is healthy and just needs to be maintained. Observation data can also play a factor in recommendations for the next year. This data allows for analysis of sex ratios, age structure, and fawn recruitment.

Lactation rates are also a very important indicator of herd health, as the percentage of does lactating gives us insight into the reproductive success of the population. Normal lactation rates can vary widely in different regions and areas. It is important to know the average lactation rate for the area prior to analyzing any lactation data. High lactation rates indicate that does are healthy and are raising healthy fawns. Low lactation rates indicate does might be in poor health and are not producing as many fawns. If lactation rates are low, it could indicate overpopulation and more does need to be harvested moving forward. On the contrary, high lactation rates indicate a healthy herd. High lactation rates and high reproductive output can indicate that doe harvest needs to be maintained to preserve the current population level.

Weight can be another good indicator of herd health. Heavier deer indicate healthier deer. Just like lactation, it is important to understand the average weights in the region and area to understand how the managed property compares. Once biologists have historical data for a property, it is very helpful to look at trends over time with weights.

Analyzing antler measurements for harvested bucks can be a great way to measure the success of a management plan. For most hunters, increasing antler size is the primary goal of a management program. Biologists use ages and antler measurements from harvested bucks to track antler size over time. Increases in antler size can also indicate an increase in herd health.

When it comes to deer management, all data is important data. Rather than look at each data point individually, biologists most often combine all data and look at it holistically. For instance, a low lactation rate alone might indicate more does need to be harvested, but a low lactation rate combined with a young age structure might indicate that fewer does need to be harvested. Deer management is both an art and a science, and working with a trained biologist can help hunters achieve goals and improve the deer herd on their property. AFM’s biologists are here to help hunters and landowners achieve their goals.

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Frequently Asked Questions

  • After hunting season closes, AFM's wildlife biologists compile harvest data including data sheets and jawbones submitted by hunters. From that material they analyze age structure, lactation rates, body weights, and antler measurements. Together these data points give biologists a comprehensive picture of herd health and whether management goals are being met.

  • The age structure of harvested does is considered the most reliable indicator of harvest rates and population trends. Because buck harvest is typically restricted by management plans, doe age structure better reflects the actual makeup of the population. High percentages of older does in the harvest suggest the population can support increased doe harvest the following year, while a younger-skewing age structure may mean hunters should reduce doe harvest for a season or two.

  • Lactation rates reveal how reproductively successful a doe population is. High lactation rates suggest does are healthy and raising healthy fawns, which may mean doe harvest levels should be maintained to keep the population stable. Low lactation rates can signal that does are in poor health or that the herd is overpopulated, potentially pointing to a need for increased doe harvest going forward. Biologists always compare lactation data against known regional averages before drawing conclusions.

  • Heavier deer generally indicate healthier deer, so body weight is another useful metric biologists track. As with lactation rates, understanding the typical weight ranges for a specific region is essential before interpreting the data meaningfully. Once biologists have built up historical weight records for a property, they can look for trends over time to assess whether herd health is improving, declining, or holding steady.

  • Yes, antler measurements from harvested bucks are one of the primary ways biologists gauge the success of a management program. Biologists pair antler data with the ages of harvested bucks to track size trends over time. Increases in antler size are a positive sign that not only is the management plan achieving its goals for hunters, but that overall herd health may be improving as well.

  • Deer management requires interpreting multiple data points together rather than in isolation. For example, a low lactation rate alone might suggest more does need to be harvested, but when combined with a young age structure it could actually point to the opposite conclusion. AFM's biologists are trained to analyze all available data holistically, blending both the science and the art of deer management to help hunters and landowners reach their specific goals.