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Land Value Differentials Resulting from Variability between the Sales Comparison and Income Approaches in Timberland Valuation

2018/10/19

Austin B. Harris, AFM Appraiser, and Christopher N. Singleton, Assistant Director, Investment Services, had an article recently published in The Appraisal Journal.

Timberland appraisal can be complex as it involves intricate knowledge of timber as a commercial product and the value of the underlying land as the “ factory” that produces a timber crop. In a timberland transaction, the timber crop adds contributory value, and a disaggregation technique is used to determine timber and land values. Once the timber value is established, an allocated land value is often calculated by subtracting the timber value from the overall tract value of comparable sales. When this comparable sales land value is compared to land value determined by an income approach, the two often disagree by an amount called a land value differential. A common way that foresters value land is the bare land value calculation. Bare land value is a specialized income approach model in forestry adapted to perpetual timber production and is primarily dependent upon the parameters of discount rate, site index (a determinant of forest yield), and stumpage price appreciation. This study uses actual data to evaluate each of the parameters and determine the adjustment factors and the magnitude of adjustments that result in the lowest land value differential. The results show that bare land value is most responsive to site index and discount rate adjustments, and less responsive to stumpage price appreciation. Timberland appraisers can use these findings to evaluate the results of their income approach model when comparing the two valuation approaches, and also when identifying adjustment factors for inherent differences among timberland properties in their adjustment process. To read the article, click here.

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Frequently Asked Questions

  • A land value differential is the amount by which two common timberland valuation methods disagree. When appraisers calculate an allocated land value by subtracting timber value from the overall tract value of comparable sales, and then compare that figure to a land value determined through an income approach, the two results often do not match. That gap between the two estimates is referred to as a land value differential.

  • Bare land value is a specialized income approach model adapted to perpetual timber production. It is primarily dependent on three parameters: discount rate, site index, and stumpage price appreciation. Foresters commonly use this calculation to estimate the value of timberland as a productive asset, separate from the value of the standing timber crop itself.

  • According to the study published by AFM's Austin B. Harris and Christopher N. Singleton, bare land value is most responsive to adjustments in site index and discount rate. It is less responsive to changes in stumpage price appreciation. Understanding the relative weight of these factors helps appraisers identify where adjustments will have the most meaningful impact when comparing valuation approaches.

  • In a timberland transaction, the standing timber crop contributes value beyond the underlying land itself. Appraisers use a disaggregation technique to determine separate timber and land values. Once the timber value is established, an allocated land value can be calculated by subtracting that timber value from the overall tract value observed in comparable sales.

  • The article was written by Austin B. Harris, an AFM Appraiser, and Christopher N. Singleton, Assistant Director of Investment Services at AFM. It was published in The Appraisal Journal and made available in October 2018.

  • The study provides appraisers with practical guidance for evaluating the results of their income approach model when comparing it to the sales comparison approach. Appraisers can also use the findings to identify appropriate adjustment factors that account for inherent differences among timberland properties, helping to narrow the land value differential in their valuation work.